1, with some states showing a tight race. Harris’s campaign is focusing on turning out key demographics, especially in battleground states, to close the gap and secure victory.
With 1 Week Until Election Day, Candidates Make Closing Arguments
29, showing a 2.3 percentage point lead in Georgia and a 1.5-point advantage in Arizona. Trump holds narrow leads in North Carolina (0.8 percent), Nevada (0.7 percent), Pennsylvania (0.4 percent), Wisconsin (0.3 percent), and Michigan (0.2 percent).
While making predictions about election outcomes can be difficult, Hult pointed out that unexpected shifts can happen, as was seen in the elections of 1976 and to some extent in 1980, when dynamics changed suddenly over a weekend.
In 1976, the incumbent President Gerald Ford, who was the Republican candidate, was defeated by Jimmy Carter, a relatively unknown former governor of Georgia.
Then in 1980, Ronald Reagan won by a landslide despite trailing Carter in public opinion polls just weeks before the election.
It remains to be seen whether the 2024 election will follow a similar pattern and result in a surprising landslide victory for one of the candidates.
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