According to forecast models, a tropical system is expected to move into the Gulf of Mexico by Nov. 6, but it is unlikely to impact the U.S. election.
With just one month left in the hurricane season, there is a possibility of another named storm forming. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is monitoring two low-pressure systems in the Caribbean that could develop within the next week.
One system near Panama has a 70 percent chance of formation by next Friday and a 30 percent chance within the next 48 hours. The NHC anticipates a tropical depression to form in the central or western Caribbean Sea over the weekend or early next week.
Forecast models suggest that a tropical system might enter the Gulf of Mexico by Nov. 6. However, it is too early to determine the storm’s strength or trajectory. It is unlikely that any states will be affected on Election Day, Nov. 5.
While November hurricanes are less common than those in September or October, history shows that named storms have developed shortly after past elections. The 2024 hurricane season has already seen 15 named storms and 10 hurricanes, with five hurricanes making landfall in the U.S.
The NOAA predicted a total of 17 to 24 named storms, eight to 13 hurricanes, and four to seven major hurricanes for the 2024 season. As of Nov. 1, the season has been active, with several storms impacting the U.S.
Hurricane season officially ends on Nov. 30.
