The ANC is weaker than ever before, but experts predict that it will remain in government with the support of smaller parties. South Africa’s upcoming election on May 29 is expected to be the most significant since the country’s first multiracial poll in 1994. The numbers suggest that the socialist African National Congress (ANC) may lose the majority it has held for 30 years, following Nelson Mandela’s victory over apartheid. Despite its initial popularity and global acclaim, the ANC has been plagued by corruption scandals and internal strife. Despite efforts to address these issues, the party’s reputation has been tarnished, and its future remains uncertain. Ramaphosa’s leadership in South Africa has seen a rise in unemployment, poverty, inequality, violent crime, economic stagnation, and decay across various sectors such as health and education. Water outages and electricity blackouts have become common occurrences, lasting for days or even weeks at a time. The country’s infrastructure is deteriorating, with roads, ports, and railways in poor condition.
South Africa currently holds the highest “real” unemployment rate globally, standing at 41.9 percent. The ANC’s popularity has waned, evident in its lowest-ever vote share of 45.6 percent in the 2021 local government elections. Despite predictions of the ANC winning between 45 and 48 percent in the upcoming elections, this would mark the end of their absolute power reign, leading to a coalition government with smaller parties.
Independent political analyst Moeletsi Mbeki warns of a “dangerous era” of coalition politics characterized by chaos, as the ANC shows no intention of changing its policies. Despite widespread frustration with the ANC’s failures, the lack of a credible opposition with a compelling vision hinders the masses from abandoning the ruling party. The ANC’s manipulation of history and fear tactics have contributed to their continued hold on power.
With low voter turnout expected, the ANC may benefit from those disillusioned with the party but hesitant to support alternative options. Opposition parties, although presenting good policies, struggle to connect with the electorate and challenge the ANC effectively. South Africa finds itself at a crossroads, with a need for strong leadership and a viable opposition to address the country’s pressing issues. Please rewrite this sentence.
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