President Biden’s popularity in the polls seems to be on the rise. Following his State of the Union address last month, there have been indications of a positive trend, with a recent New York Times/Siena College poll released on Saturday morning reinforcing this notion.
According to the latest poll, Donald J. Trump leads Mr. Biden by one percentage point among likely voters nationwide, with 46 percent to 45 percent. This represents a slight improvement for the president since February when Mr. Trump had a four-point lead in the same poll among likely voters.
While a one-point deficit may not signal a significant “Biden comeback,” it does contribute to a series of polls showing a gradual increase in support for him over the past month.
In the post-State of the Union polls conducted by 16 national pollsters, Mr. Biden is averaging about 1.4 points higher compared to earlier surveys by the same pollsters.
While a 1.4-point shift may not be substantial, it carries significance in light of recent events and the doubts surrounding Mr. Biden’s candidacy.
Despite positive trends, Mr. Biden still trails in the polls. His approval rating remains in the upper 30s, with only 41 percent having a favorable view of the president. Voters continue to perceive the economy poorly and disapprove of Mr. Biden’s economic policies by a significant margin.
However, the slight shift towards Mr. Biden in the past month indicates a potential for further gains as he benefits from improving political conditions.
With seven months remaining until the election, the possibility of Mr. Biden making further progress is not unrealistic, although not guaranteed. Many voters, especially the less engaged, young, and nonwhite demographics, who currently support Mr. Trump, may impact the outcome.
On paper, an incumbent president with a strong economy would typically be favored to win.
For more details on the poll results, you can read the full article here.
What about Kennedy?
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. was not included as an option in the presidential race due to limited ballot access in few states. However, future polls may include him as he seeks broader ballot access in the coming weeks.
The potential inclusion of Mr. Kennedy in future polls reflects a shifting landscape and the need for updated comparisons with upcoming surveys.
Even though Mr. Kennedy was not listed as an option, a small percentage of respondents expressed support for him in the Biden vs. Trump matchup.
