From engaging China in peace talks to supplying weapons to Ukraine for extended negotiations for a cease-fire, Trump is set to reshape the geopolitical landscape. President-elect Donald Trump is gearing up to make significant efforts to resolve the ongoing conflict in Ukraine with Russia. The success of his administration in achieving this goal and the implications for Ukraine and Russia remain uncertain. Arik Burakovsky, from Tufts University, believes that if Trump pushes for a cease-fire, there is a substantial potential for renewed engagement with Russia. However, the outcome depends on both parties being willing to negotiate sincerely. The road ahead may be challenging as both Moscow and Kyiv have been firm in their demands and may not easily back down. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy’s offer for a cease-fire under NATO protection may open the door for diplomacy. The key question is whether the Trump administration will persist in negotiations or lose patience with the lack of immediate progress. Burakovsky warns that a faltering of U.S. support could leave Ukraine vulnerable to increased Russian aggression. A peaceful resolution hinges on continuous U.S. involvement and genuine negotiations by both sides. Trump’s suggestion of involving China in the peace process to align with broader geopolitical objectives and support Russian interests could potentially aid in sustaining engagement and bringing an end to the conflict. The world is waiting!” Trump wrote.
Chinese Communist Party (CCP) leadership has openly expressed its desire to play a role in resolving the conflict.
In a position paper released by the regime last year, Beijing outlined its aspiration to mediate in the conflict and advocated for an increased role in achieving a cease-fire and negotiated settlement to the war.
Sam Kessler, a geopolitical analyst for the North Star Support Group risk advisory firm, suggested that involving China in peace talks could help the Trump administration alleviate other geopolitical tensions, such as Beijing’s stance on Taiwan independence.
Furthermore, including China in peace talks could assist the Trump administration in setting terms for a new era in global relations, potentially influencing the relationships between Russia, China, and the United States.
Trump’s appointment of Keith Kellogg as special envoy for Russia and Ukraine has raised questions about the level of support Ukraine will receive during negotiations with Russia.
Kellogg’s proposal for a cease-fire to freeze the current frontlines while working towards a long-term solution represents a significant shift in U.S. strategy regarding the war in Ukraine.
While some policymakers suggest more aggressive approaches, such as helping Ukraine rebuild its nuclear arsenal, the Biden administration has ruled out such actions.
Despite differing opinions on how to prevent further aggression, the focus remains on ensuring Ukraine’s sovereignty and deterring future invasions.
It is unclear if Trump has endorsed Kellogg’s plan, but strengthening Ukraine’s defenses while engaging in negotiations with Russia could be a priority for the incoming administration. Please provide an alternative version.
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