The legendary Prussian military theorist Carl von Clausewitz, whose works remain an influence on U.S. military officers today, wrote in his famous 19th-century treatise âOn Warâ that âwar is merely the continuation of politics by other means.â A military general himself advising on how best to wage an armed conflict, Clausewitz nonetheless reminded his readers that the purpose of war is to achieve political goals, not to pursue violence as end to itself, or as a wholesale substitute for diplomacy.
Clausewitzâs words would have been well-heeded by the U.S. and Israel before the start of the current war in the Gaza Strip, which has now reached a painful yet predictable impasse. So far, tens of thousands of Palestinians have been killed or wounded, Israel now faces genocide charges at the International Court of Justice, and Hamas control is already returning to parts of Gaza previously declared conquered by Israel.
Israeli military officials are now going public with criticisms that the war in Gaza had been misguided for a simple reason that Clausewitz himself would have recognized: Besides revenge, the war never had a clear political strategy or objective.
Israeli leaders have taken the position that Palestinians are merely a subject population to be suppressed and controlled.
This lack of a political approach reflects long-standing attitudes in Israeli society that have now trapped the country in a forever war with the Palestinians and their other neighbors â with the U.S. as its patron effectively pulled along for the ride. The roots of this failure had been years in the making.
Well before October 7, the Israeli government decided that the Palestinians, whether in the West Bank or Gaza, were no longer politically relevant. Rather than dealing with the Palestinians as political agents, Israeli leaders have taken the position that Palestinians are merely a subject population to be suppressed and controlled with a mixture of military, technological, and economic tools.
While continuing a policy of blockading and periodically bombing Gaza, Israel has either ignored or rejected the Palestinian Authorityâs calls, with the support of international law, for a two-state solution. Instead, Israel proceeded unilaterally with its colonization and annexation of the West Bank, cementing a consensus among major human rights groups that Israel is an apartheid state.
The U.S. under President Joe Biden, following in the line of other administrations, abetted this process of dismissing the political claims of Palestinians. Most notably, Biden followed the Trump administration in its pursuit of faux-diplomacy in the form of regional arms deals and normalization agreements between Gulf Arab states and Israel: the so-called Abraham Accords. That myopia eventually produced the current conflagration in Gaza, when the October 7 Hamas assault exposed Israelâs technological and military control over the Gaza Strip as much less robust than advertised.
From a U.S. perspective, Bidenâs reflexive backing for a war that has proven to be equal parts aimless and brutal has now trapped the U.S. in a situation where it is the primary enabler of an alleged genocide.
The war has not only tarnished Americaâs reputation abroad but is also increasingly tearing at its own social fabric. Even diehard subscribers to the U.S. foreign policy consensus have been forced to reckon with the failures of treating the Palestinians as politically irrelevant. In a recent interview with Politico, former top U.S. diplomat Victoria Nuland acknowledged that this approach had laid the groundwork for the present calamity.
âBeginning with the Trump administration, everybody fell in love with regional normalization as the cure-all for the instability and grievances and insecurity in the Middle East,â Nuland said. âBut if you leave out the Palestinian issue, then somebodyâs going to seize it and run with it, and thatâs what Hamas did.â
The Folly of Its Path â and Ours
The Gaza war began in the heat of emotion after Hamasâs attacks against Israeli civilian communities. It was quickly advertised to the Israeli public as a war to eradicate the group entirely. Yet seven months later, with tens of thousands of Palestinians dead and wounded, Israel remains mired in the territory with no prospect of an endgame in sight.
One of many sad ironies is that Hamas itself had made repeated political entreaties toward Israel, which Israeli leaders had rejected alongside their rejection of engaging with Palestinian leaders in the West Bank. Instead, Israeli leaders preferred to visit Dubai and continue developing military and surveillance technology that they believed would allow them to control and ignore the Palestinians indefinitely.
The consequences of this approach have now become clear, but the collapse may be only in its early stages. As a result of the war, Israel now faces the prospect of another conflict with Hezbollah on its northern border, where tens of thousands of Israelis have been evacuated since October 2023.
Israel is facing various risks, including the potential loss of its key security relationship with Egypt. Egypt has threatened to suspend the Camp David peace accords and has joined the ICJ case accusing Israel of genocide. Despite this pressure, Israeli leaders show no signs of relenting. Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant has proposed building a new city in the occupied West Bank, further diminishing hopes for a two-state solution. The political landscape in Israel is concerning, with far-right and openly fascist ministers in the government.
Israel’s rejection of talks with the Palestinian Authority and the Arab League is leading to more conflicts. The U.S. continues to support Israel, despite international consensus on its violations of international law. The Biden administration’s support has allowed Israel to defy global norms and public opinion. If Biden loses the next election after enabling Israel’s actions, he will be seen as a diplomatic failure.
The future for Israel and the U.S. may involve ongoing conflicts with no clear goals. The approach of prioritizing war over diplomacy and international law could lead to further instability. Please rewrite this sentence for me.
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