About our polling averages
Our polling averages are compiled using data from The New York Times and FiveThirtyEight. We take into account various factors such as the timeliness and sample size of each poll, whether the poll represents likely voters, and any shifts in other polls since the data was collected.
In addition, we assess each pollster based on their recent accuracy in elections, membership in professional polling organizations, and their use of probability-based sampling. These criteria determine the weight assigned to each poll in our averages. Pollsters meeting at least two of these criteria are considered “select pollsters,” as long as they work with nonpartisan sponsors. Learn more about our methodology.
The New York Times conducts its own national and state polls in partnership with Siena College, which are included in our averages. Stay updated on Times/Siena polling here.
Sources: Polling averages by The New York Times. Individual polls collected by FiveThirtyEight and The Times.
