Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is set to appear on the presidential ballot in Michigan, a crucial swing state in the 2024 election. His presence threatens to disrupt the race between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump, both of whom could lose votes to Kennedy.
Kennedy, nominated by the Natural Law Party in Michigan, could have a significant impact on the race in a state where Biden won by a narrow margin in 2020. Polls show Kennedy leading among voters under 35 and independent voters, a substantial portion of the electorate.
While Kennedy’s candidacy may draw support from both major candidates, recent polls suggest he could benefit Trump more than Biden. His appeal to independent and Hispanic voters, as well as the influence of negative partisanship, could sway the outcome in Michigan.
Despite his relatively low profile as a candidate, Kennedy has gained traction in recent months and is expanding his presence on the ballot in several key states. His campaign is targeting a broad base of supporters, aiming to win rather than serve as a spoiler for the major candidates.
Overall, Kennedy’s candidacy adds a new dynamic to the election in Michigan, with the potential to impact the race in unexpected ways. As the campaign unfolds, the influence of independent voters and negative partisanship could play a crucial role in determining the outcome.
This report was a collaborative effort by Jacob Burg and Jeff Louderback.
