The core dynamics of an attrition-based conflict, in which Russia holds a significant advantage, remain unchanged despite recent developments in Ukraine’s surprise attack on Russia’s Kursk Oblast.
This means that the pressure Ukraine was hoping to relieve on its troops in the Donbas will persist and become more difficult to withstand as Ukrainian manpower and weapons resources are redirected to Kursk.
In the end, although the incursion diverted attention from losses in the Donbas and boosted morale, it remains a tactic of shifting resources from one area to another in a desperate attempt to slow Russia’s advances. Unfortunately, it has not been successful in achieving this goal. As a result, the fundamental dynamics of an attrition-based war, in which Russia holds a significant advantage, remain unchanged.
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